What is the size of the drone market in the future? Before answering this question, we can analyze the relevant situation from the following several UAV application areas.
1, agriculture, forestry and plant protection
As a large agricultural country, China has 1.8 billion mu of basic farmland and requires a large number of people to engage in agricultural plant protection operations every year. UAV flying defense is a booster to accelerate my country's agricultural modernization. Plant protection UAVs, pilots, and pesticides constitute the three major elements of the flying defense system. Japan is the country with the most mature drone flight defense. Currently, there are more than 3,000 drones operating in the field with more than 14,000 flight defense personnel. China’s air defense operations area is 28 times that of Japan. It is estimated that by 2020, the demand for plant protection drones in China will be 100,000, and the demand for drone plant protection practitioners will be 400,000.
2. Security emergency
The security industry is the new blue ocean of the professional drone market. Many security companies use drone technology to develop and sell security professional drones. The security drone can collect on-site data, quickly transmit the on-site video and audio information to the command center, and track the development of the incident for the commander to make judgments and decisions. At present, the main applications of the UAV security market are concentrated in the fields of police, fire protection, anti-terrorism, emergency rescue and other fields. Among them, the police UAV is taken as an example. According to the preliminary statistics of the Police Equipment Network, in 2017, the country involved police UAVs ( A total of 332 purchase transactions (including border defense, fire protection, etc.) were purchased, and the number of drones purchased was about 800, with a total value of about 250 million yuan. The advancement of drone technology, the promulgation of industry standards, the in-depth academic theoretical research, the initial establishment of a management system, and the initial success of the construction of a professional team of police drones have greatly promoted the development of police drones in China. According to the "2017-2022 China Industrial UAV Industry Development Prospect Forecast and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report" released by the Foresight Industry Research Institute, the market demand for UAVs in the entire police field will exceed 20,000 in the future.
3. Power inspection
UAV power inspection refers to the use of drones to carry cameras, infrared sensors and other equipment to check whether high-voltage transmission lines have poor contact, leakage, overheating, tree barriers, large-scale mechanical construction, and other external force damage hidden dangers. At present, the relevant departments of State Grid Corporation of China and China Southern Power Grid Corporation are working hard to promote the construction of drone teams and improve various support systems. It is estimated that by 2020, the size of the power inspection drone market will be approximately 2.923 billion yuan. As the market for drone inspection flight services, leasing services, and maintenance services will gradually open up, data from China Industry Information Network shows that the market size of drone inspection services is about the size of the drone inspection market. Therefore, the overall market size of electric power inspection drones and services is expected to be approximately 8.768 billion yuan in 2020.
4, film and television aerial photography
Aerial drones are a very popular application field among consumer-grade drones for civilian use. Among the mainstream domestic drone manufacturers, 42.8% are drone manufacturers engaged in professional aerial photography. According to statistics, the scale of my country's aerial drone market in 2017 was about 4 billion yuan, and the Chinese aerial drone market will grow rapidly at a compound annual growth rate of 86.5%; it is predicted that by 2020, the market size will reach 250 100 million yuan.
5. Aerial surveying and mapping
In recent years, my country has made great progress in aerial surveying and mapping technology, and it has been widely used in my country's response to natural disasters, construction of digital cities, and land and resources surveys. In 2019, the Ministry of Natural Resources will launch the "14th Five-Year Plan" basic surveying and mapping plan to promote the national surveying and mapping "Realistic 3D China Construction" large project. This aerial surveying and mapping project covering 9.6 million square kilometers across the country will lead the surveying and mapping industry with nearly 400,000 professional and technical personnel among 460,000 employees, transforming from the traditional surveying and mapping field into the drone surveying and mapping field. Through the investigation and analysis of leading companies in the field of drone surveying and mapping across the country, my country's drone aerial surveying and mapping industry is currently booming. In 2018, the number of surveying and mapping drones in the country exceeded 10,000, and 2019 will usher in drone surveying and mapping. During the period of rapid development, the average annual growth rate is expected to reach 50% in the next three years.
The data of the UAV cloud exchange system developed by the Civil Aviation Administration of China commissioned by the Civil Aviation Science and Technology Research Institute of China shows that as of the end of 2018, there have been about 289,000 UAVs registered. In addition to the registered UAVs, there are still a large number of unmanned aircraft. The machine is not registered in the system. According to incomplete statistics, the number of domestic drones exceeds 1 million.
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